Iraq's Military Puts Obama ISIS Strategy in Doubt

by John M. Curtis
(310) 204-8700

Copyright September 22, 2014
All Rights Reserved.
                                    

           Speaking to the nation Sept. 10, 52-year-old President Barack Obama outlined his plan to deal with the biggest threat to U.S. national security since Osama bin Laden.  Telling the nation he plans to train, arm and use Iraqi forces, Obama signaled he would not put U.S. boots on the ground but instead would rely on Iraqi and Kurdish forces to take on Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi’s well-armed and determined Islamic State of Iraq and Syria [ISIS].  While glad that Obama’s finally doing something about ISIS, conservatives on Capitol Hill, led by Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) and Sen. Lindsey Grahma (R-S.C.), thought Obama’s plan was too-little-too-late.  “We need boots on the ground to beat ISIS,” said former British Prime Minister Tony Blair, concerned that the current strategy was not enough.  Only one hour from Baghdad, ISIS inflicted heavy casualties at an Iraqi military base.

             Only 50 kilometers [30 miles] from Baghdad, ISIS fighters killed at least 50 Iraqi troops, taking another 70 hostage, showing the obvious incompetence of the Iraqi military. Trained for years at great expense to the U.S. military, Iraq beleaguered military looks helpless next to ISIS’s well-trained, more aggressive forces.  Storming the camp at Saqlawiya, ISIS suicide-bombed their way into the camp, killing 50 and seizing about 70 Iraqi hostages.  “This failure is not the fault of the soldiers . . . the mistake was that of the military leadership, they failed,” said an unnamed officer who managed to escape.  With an estimated 1,000 Iraqi troop in Saqiawiya, only 200 managed to escape, anticipating more mass executions.  Iraq’s new Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi had no answer other that blaming Iraq’s military brass.  Al-Abadi finds himself unable to defend Baghdad or surrounding areas.

             Rejecting the idea of letting foreign forces battle ISIS on the ground, al-Abadi shows, like his predecessor Nouri al-Maliki, egregious denial over the state of the Iraqi military.  If something isn’t done quickly to help Iraqi ground forces, al-Abadi may be swearing allegiance to Iraq’s new caliph, Abu Bakr-al-Baghadi.  Publicly denouncing the idea of foreign troops on the ground to battle ISIS, al-Abadi acts as clueless as Hamas when they battled Israel.  With much of Iraq’s military infiltrated by Sunni insurgents loyal to ISIS or other Sunni rebel groups, al-Abadi hasn’t got a prayers against ISIS without foreign intervention.  All the talk of a more inclusive Iraqi government by Obama and Secretary of State John Kerry won’t stop outlaw groups like ISIS from toppling Baghdad.  Al-Abadi should be begging U.S. and foreign forces to put competent boots on the ground.

             Obama’s strategy must be based not on the wishes of al-Abadi or any other Iraqi official but on what promises to work against ISIS.  Public proclamations by Iraqi leaders about what they want are only PR messages to various insurgent groups.  Former Prime Minister Tony Blair reads the tea leaves differently than Obama.  “We were without ammunition and without food.  Every time we contacted military commanders, they promised to send helicopters to air drop reinforcements but nothing happened,” said an unnamed soldier who managed to escape the base.  If ISIS decided to launch a blitzkrieg on Baghdad, there’s little the Iraqi military or U.S. could do to stop it.  When ISIS sacked Mosul June 1, it signaled what was on its way.  “We . . . were drinking salty water and eating canned tomato paste,” said the soldier, showing the complete incompetence of Iraq’s command-and-control.

             Losing over 30% of Iraq territory since Jan. 1, Iraq’s military has no answer for the more organized and better-equipped ISIS forces.  Iraq’s military was so heavily infiltrated by Sunni insurgents that sabotage should come as no surprise.  Sending an explosive-laiden Humvee into camp Saqlawlya, Iraq’s military has no excuse for the lax security.  “When it exploded, it caused a lot of confusion.  Islamic State exploited that and entered the camp.  Now most of the regiment headquarters within the base are under the control of the Islamic State.  Baghdad has no plan or resources for how to deal with ISIS.  Al-Abadi’s rejection of foreign ground troops to deal with a relentless ISIS advance on Baghdad shows he’s either collaborating with al-Baghdadi or is too insulated from reality to know the facts.  Obama must stop the half-measures or face an ISIS takeover of Baghdad.

             Before Obama’s strategy backfires, he needs to urgently rethink what must be done to stop ISIS’s advance toward Baghdad.  Conservatives on Capitol Hill have urged the president to avoid half-measures when it comes to ISIS.  If Barack’s National Security team believes that ISIS is a threat to U.S. national security, then he must do whatever’s necessary, including sending in ground troops.  If Iraq isn’t a threat, then Obama should rethink the strategy.  There’s little sympathy in the Sunni world for Baghdad’s Shiite regime or, for that matter, al-Assad’s in Damascus.  White House officials must get the Syrian and Iraq polices right before using the Pentagon.  While there’s less risk with air strikes, its may not accomplish the job of stopping ISIS.  If ISIS is really a national security threat, then Obama should pull out all the stops—including ground troops—to stop their advance.

John M. Curtis writes politically neutral commentary analyzing spin in national and global news.  He's editor of OnlineColumnist.com.and author of Dodging the Bullet and Operation Charisma.


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