Putin Under the Gun for Downing Malaysian Jet

by John M. Curtis
(310) 204-8700

Copyright July 18, 2014
All Rights Reserved.
                                    

             Exploding in midair from a suspected Russian BUK M-1 or M-2 -tank-mounted surface-to-air-missile, Malaysian Airline MH17 lost contact with radar July 17, plummeting in a fireball into a Ukrainian field.  Pro-Russian separatists are strongly suspected as downing the passenger jet by mistake, losing all 295 crew and passengers en route from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.  Only a day before a Ukrainian SU-25 fighter jet was shot out of the sky by a Russian fighter jet, forcing the Ukrainian pilot to eject safely in Ukrainian territory.  While Moscow dithers on accepting responsibility, U.S. and U.N. air-safety investigators try to locate the black boxes and secure the crime scene in the heart of pro-Russian separatist rebel territory.  After getting slapped with more sanctions yesterday by the U.S. and European Union, Putin already shows a siege mentality, making communication more difficult.

             Pouring through the bodies and smoldering wreckage, aviation crash experts hope to know what caused and who’s responsible to killing some 295 civilians, ferrying some of the world’s leading experts to a global AIDS conference in Melbourne, Australia.  All fingers point toward Russian President Vladimir Putin’s role in ferrying heavy military hardware to pro-Russian separatists hoping to extricate themselves from Kiev’s rule.  Ukraine’s feisty 49-year-old President Petro Poroshenko flat-out blamed Russia for supplying arms to Russian separatists.  After annexing Crimea March 1, Putin’s showed no regard for Ukraine’s sovereignty, insisting Russian speakers in Ukraine supersede Ukraine’s sovereignty.  U.S. President Barack Obama has made a forceful case against Russian meddling in Ukraine.  Poroshenko insists to start any constructive dialogue with the Kremlin, Putin must give back Crimea.

             Showing no interest in restoring international relations, Putin continues to occupy the strategic Crimean peninsula, home to Russia’s warm-water Black Sea Fleet.  “The facts will inevitably come in, and if it shows that Russian-supported rebels did this, the whole conversation about Ukraine changes,” said Alexander Golts, a military expert with the online journal Yezhednevny Zhumal.  Putin went on a rampage after watching former Russian-backed Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovich fall in Kiev Feb. 22 to pro-Western demonstrators.  Putin blamed the West for fomenting a coup while he hosted the Sochi Winter Olympics.  When the dust settled Feb. 23, Yanukovich was driven out of Kiev by a pro-Western mob, hoping to eventually join the EU and  NATO.  Putin can’t stomach the anti-Russia sentiment that toppled Yanukovich last November for canceling an EU bailout package.

             Slapping Moscow with additional economic and travel sanctions, the U.S. and EU hoped Putin would finally get the message to stop meddling in Ukraine.  Now that the downing of MH17 seems linked to Moscow supplying arms to pro-Russian separatists, the international community looks poised to ostracize Moscow.  When the G8 announced March 24 that Moscow would no longer be part of the G8, it sent shockwaves through the Russian stock and currency markets.  Whether admitted to or not, it’s possible separatists obtained the BUK rocket launchers from the Ukrainian army.  Wherever separatists got the tank-mounted surface-to-air-missiles, Putin still has a responsibility to play good neighbor not trying to undermine Poroshenko’s Ukraine because of his intent for forge closer ties to the U.S. and EU.  U.S. and EU officials should hold firm in their insistence to return Crimea to Ukraine.

              Unanswered questions remain about how pro-Russian separatists obtained the BUK surface-to-air anti-aircraft batteries.  Russian state media insist that Ukrainian forces fired mistakenly on the airliner.  Yet Russian propagandists Sergei Kurginyan admitted that “competent people” were dispatched from Russian to aid rebels in using the BUK surface-to-air anti-aircraft defense system.  “It’s quite likely that if the rebels obtained BUK units, they took them from Ukrainian force.  It’s a forward deployed weapons  [and] it’s know that Kiev force had them in the border areas, including Donetsk,” said Golts, making no sense.  With Russian downing an SU-25 bomber, it’s logical that Russian-backed forces lashed out at what they thought was a military cargo or spy plane.  Kremlin officials have a vested interest in recovering the flight data recorders to prevent Russia from getting blamed.

             Putin’s involvement—no matter how peripheral—opens up a can of worms for the Kremlin, which continues to wreck the Russian brand as a respectable world power.  Whatever dependency the EU has on Russian natural gas and petroleum, the West can’t sit idly by while Putin runs roughshod over sovereign countries.  Whether or not he laments the 1991 demise of the Soviet Union, Putin can’t coerce former Soviet satellites into keeping an old Russian yoke.  If any former Soviet state wishes closer ties to the U.S. and EU, Putin can’t go into a tantrum because he wants control.  “This tragedy has shocked and galvanized Europe, and really tough sectoral sanctions and a united front against us are what we can look forward to,” said Sergei Strokan, foreign affairs columnist for the Moscow Daily Kommersant, attesting to how Putin continues to wreck the Russian brand.

John M. Curtis writes politically neutral commentary analyzing spin in national and global news.  He's editor of OnlineColumnist.com.and author of Dodging the Bullet and Operation Charisma.


Homecobolos> Helvetica,Geneva,Swiss,SunSans-Regular">©1999-2005 Discobolos Consulting Services, Inc.
(310) 204-8300
All Rights Reserved.