Obama's Approval Ratings Sink to New Lows

by John M. Curtis
(310) 204-8700

Copyright July 2, 2014
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              Nearly two years into his second term, 52-year-old President Barack Obama faces the unenviable position of having the lowest approval ratings at 41.3% in the 69-year-history of polling over 12 U.S. presidents at this mark in his term.  What makes Obama’s fate so inexplicable is the fact that the U.S. economy has dramatically improved since taking office Jan. 20, 2009.  Less than two months after taking office March 9, 2009, the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit rock bottom at 6,443.  Closing today at 16,796, nearly a 300% higher, the economy has added over $8 million jobs, dropping the unemployment rate from a 2010 high of 9.6% to today’s 6.3%.  Based on improvement in the economy, Obama should have some of the highest approval ratings in modern history.  Surveying 1,446 registered voters, a recent Quinnipiac University poll 33% said Barack was the worst president since WW II.

             Since launching his political career as the keynote speaker for former Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.) at the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston Jul. 26, 2004, Obama established himself as one of America’s best orators.  His speeches during his presidency have received high marks on both sides of the aisle, whether you agreed with his liberal politics or not.  According to the same Quinnipiac poll, President Ronald Reagan enjoys the highest approval ratings since WW II, attesting to his lasting message that still resonates with voters.  When Obama accepted the Democratic nomination in Denver Aug. 28, 2008, he was touted by President John F. Kennedy’s sole surviving child Caroline Kennedy Schlossberg as the closest thing to her late father.  After nearly six years in office, Barack approval ratings have gone in the opposite direction of Reagan and JFK.

                        Political scientists are scratching their heads trying to figure out what went wrong with the Obama presidency.  Judging by conventional metrics, he’s got all the “Q” or charisma needed to have matched approval ratings of the nation’s most popular presidents.  When you consider how Obama pulled the economy back from the brink or what was called the “Great Recession,” the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression, it’s difficult to account for his abysmal ratings.  Most political scientists don’t take into account Barack’s race, since no one’s willing to admit his low ratings might be due to residual racism.  What’s known for sure is that his signature legislation called The Affordable Care act AKA Obamacare signed into law March 23, 2010 has turned his legacy on its head.  There’s an uncanny parallel between Obamacare and former President George W. Bush’s Iraq War.

             Before Bush launched the Iraq War March 20, 2003, he had approval ratings of 68%.  By the time Bush left office Jan. 20, 2009, his approval ratings was about 28%, largely because the economy tanked, causing the worst recession since the Great Depression.  “Over the span of 69-years of American history and 12 presidents, President Barack Obama finds himself with President George W. Bush at the bottom of the popularity barrel,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll.  Obama’s aggregate 41.3% poll is far higher that Bush when he left yet far lower than former President Ronald Reagan or Bill Clinton, both at 63%.  Discounting any racial overtones, Obama’s approval ratings started steadily declining after he signed Obamacare into law March 23, 2010.  When he told folks they could keep their old insurance plans and doctors, things went south.

             When insurance companies began issuing thousands of cancellation notices in Oct. 2013, Obama’s credibility took another hit, continuing the downward spiral where it is today.  Today’s divided government would have required Obama to actively woo conservatives in Congress, hosting them at the White House to build rapport.  Obama’s inability to form relationships with conservative on Capitol Hill has more to do with his lack of stomach to deal with the endless criticism and antagonism.  When you consider the problems with Obamacare stemming largely from the government’s inability to regulate the insurance industry, it’s no wonder that it’s worked at all.  All the problems with the Obamacare Website pale into comparison to real problems with industry price-gouging, driving health insurance rates through the roof.   Without consensus in Congress, it’s difficult to make Obamacare work.

             Obama finds himself behind the Eight Ball on domestic and foreign policy because of poor relationships on Capitol Hill.  However difficult Republicans on Capitol Hill, Obama would have higher approval ratings if he put out more bipartisan effort. When you look at what’s happening in Ukraine, Iraq, Syria, Iran and North Korea, Barack’s foreign policy report card reveals barely passing grades.  While he deserves credit for getting Osama bin Laden May 1, 2011, he’s currently allowing the next maniacal Islamic terrorist to run roughshod in the Middle East.  With Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant’s 42-year-old sultan Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi annexing large swaths of Iraq, Syria and Jordan, Obama’s losing more credibility.  Allowing U.S.-Russian relations to sink to a new post-Cold War low also doesn’t help Obama’s approval ratings, also sinking to new lows.

John M. Curtis writes politically neutral commentary analyzing spin in national and global news.  He's editor of OnlineColumnist.com.and author of Dodging the Bullet and Operation Charisma.


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