Kerry Warns Mideast to Stay Out of Iraq

by John M. Curtis
(310) 204-8700

Copyright May 25, 2014
All Rights Reserved.
                                    

            Warning Mideast countries to stay out of Iraq, Secretary of State John Kerry sent a veiled threat to Syria’s Bashar al-Assad who sent war planes to bomb Sunni targets in Iraq.  Faced with a growing Saudi-backed Sunni insurgency led by the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant [ISIS], Iraq’s U.S.-backed Shiite government of Nour al-Maliki finds itself helpless to defend most cities and towns from a Sunni takeover.  Since March 2011, al-Assad has defended his small Alawite Shiite sect from a growing Sunni revolt that seeks to topple al-Assad’s Damascus regime.  Finding Iraq’s Shiites kindred spirits, al-Assad tried to lend his hand allowing his air force to attack ISIS strongholds in former Shiite territory.  Since the U.S. toppled Saddam Hussein April 12, 2003, Iraq has faced a destabilizing Sunni insurgency, leaving Iraq in chaos, with or without U.S. forces to maintain order.

             White House officials confirmed that Syrian warplanes bombed ISIS positions near the Syrian border town of Qaim.  Al-Assad faces the same threat in Syria with ISIS working hard to topple the al-Assad government.  When President Barack Obama approved over $5 billion in aid to the Supreme Military Council of the Free Syrian Army led by Sen. John McCain’s (R-Ariz.) friend 57-year-old Gen. Salim Idris, the U.S. didn’t consider the weapons and cash would fall into the wrong hands.  Obama was amply warned about the possibility of financial and military aid falling into the enemies’ hands in Syria.  Like the chaos in Iraq caused by toppling Saddam, the same situation could repeat itself in Syria if the White House isn’t careful.  White House officials, like Obama and Kerry, can’t rail against the destabilizing effect of the Iraq War, while ignoring the same scenario in Syria.

             If backing Syrian rebels opens the floodgates for more Islamic radicals, Bashar al-Assad’s misdeeds—including using chemical weapons—will look like small potatoes.  Execution-like mass killings, beheadings, torture and mayhem are commonplace for Sunni extremists now flooding Iraq and Syria.  Were it no for Iran’s al-Quds force and Lebanon’s Iran-backed Hezbollah militia rescuing al-Assad, it’s possible Damacus would have already fallen to Sunni Islamists.  “We made it clear to everyone in the region that we don’t need anything that might exacerbate sectarian divisions that are already at a heightened state of tesnsion,” said Kerry, urging al-Maliki to form a power-sharing government with Shiites, Sunnis and Kurds.  Meeting with Kurdish leader Massoud Barzani in Irbil June 24, Kerry urged him to back the central government while it progressively disintegrated.

             Without beating Kerry over the head, Barzani told Kerry about a new Iraq emerging from the ISIS onslaught that overran Iraq’s second largest city, the oil-rich traditional Kurdish stronghold of Mosul.  Barzani practically stood on his head asking Kerry to back an independent Kurdistan.  Not ready to throw in the towel on Iraq, Kerry still sees the unlikely possibility of a power-sharing arrangement among Shiites, Sunnis and Kurds solving Iraq’s current civil war.  “It’s already important that nothing takes place that contributes to the extremism or could act as a flash point with respect to the sectarian divide,” said Kerry, beating around the bush.  Kerry hasn’t yet faced the music like Barzani that Iraq has already split along ethnic lines, prompting the U.S. to defend the Kurds by evicting ISIS from Mosul.  Barzani waited patiently for Kerry to commit to evicting ISIS from Mosul.

             McCain’s May 27, 2013 trip behind enemy lines into thick of the Sunni insurgency against al-Assad revealed his sympathies for Idris but also other anti-Assad groups like ISIS.  One year later, ISIS has destabilized Iraq and threatens to turn Syria into the same chaos that now threatens Baghdad.  Though reluctant grant al-Maliki’s request to bomb ISIS targets in Iraq, Kerry expressed qualified U.S. backing for any counterinsurgency against ISIS, urging Baghdad to form a power sharing government with Shiites, Sunnis and Kurds.  All three groups know they can’t get along, nor do they choose to in today’s Iraq.  Kerry feebly admitted that Obama’s “focus and mine is on the issue of government formation,” not re-litigating the Iraq War.  Today’s White House policy in Iraq and Syria only makes matter worse by backing the wrong rebel groups in each country that cause more chaos.

             Obama and Kerry need to meet urgently with officials from both parties on Capitol Hill to get on the same page.  Supporting ISIS in Syria and opposing them in Iraq makes no sense.  Adding more Sunnis or Kurds to al-Malki’s Shiite regime won’t discourage ISIS one bit from overthrowing Baghdad.  With ISIS getting dangerously close to Baghdad, Obama and Keery don’t have the luxury to dither before figuring out what to do in Iraq.  If neither man can stomach the idea of reopening the Iraq War, adding 300 advisors won’t stop ISIS’s forward march on Baghdad.  Coordinating anything coherent with Iran to stop ISIS would only backfire.  U.S. officials have done everything to sabotage Iran’s efforts with al-Quds and Hezbollah to prevent al-Assad from going down in Damascus.  All indications point to utter chaos at the White House, prompting more help from Congress.

John M. Curtis writes politically neutral commentary analyzing spin in national and global news.  He's editor of OnlineColumnist.com.and author of Dodging the Bullet and Operation Charisma.


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