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Kosovo's War of Words
by John M. Curtis Copyright June 21, 1999 ugoslavia cannot be threatened nor obliged by force to sign something she does not want," said a prophetic Zivadin Janovic, Yugoslav foreign minister, only days before NATO bombs rained down on key targets in Serbia. In the same breath, Janovic continued, "Bombs thrown any place in Serbia would kill any prospect for a political, democratic solution... they will kill any negotiations." So much for 'psychic' predictions. Six weeks later, after the most devastating air-campaign since the bombing of Cambodia, with nearly 60% of Serbias infrastructure in total ruins, Slobodan Milosevic finally threw in the towel or did he? "Your people should be ashamed, because you are getting ready to use force against a small European nation because it protects its territory against separatism and its people against terrorism," said a defiant Slobodan Milosevic signaling the heartbreaking collapse of the Rambouillet peace accords. For more than two months prior to NATOs bombing campaign, secretary of state Madeleine Albright and her emissary Richard Holbrooke, attempted to impose an uncompromising condition that the fate of Kosovo [its sovereignty] was subject to negotiation. On that point, Milosevic made it plain that there would be no compromise. Guess what? After taking the allies best shots, he still hasnt compromised. In fact, the most recent U.N. approved 'peace' accord assures the Serbs sovereignty in Kosovo. How much progress have we really made now that the fate of Kosovo still hasnt changed hands? Serbias recalcitrance to a negotiated settlement hinged on preserving the sovereignty of their [the Serbs] 'sacred' province. When Holbrooke returned to Brussels following his last ditch meeting with Slobodan Milosevic on March 22, 1999, president Clinton announced, "If President Milosevic continues to choose aggression over peace, NATOs military plans must continue to move forward," signaling the beginning of the war. Retracing our steps, it should be clear to everyone that the bombing began when Milosevic spurned secretary of state Albrights ultimatum at Rambouillet, namely, that the Serbs had to accept the eventual secession of Kosovo. That and only that was the sticking point. With the U.S. already backed into a corner, the White House couldnt withdraw that condition without appearing to have caved-in to Milosevic. Despite the grumbling, was the U.S.s credibility really at stake? If the State Department and NATO acquiesced to that demand to end the war with Serbia, why didnt they accept that condition in the first place and avoid the whole mess? Would that really set such a dangerous precedent? Isnt it a lot more dangerous to set untenable conditions, botch otherwise doable negotiations, push matters to the brink, and either face intolerable humiliation or be forced to flex military muscle? Whats worse: fail to negotiate or negotiate to fail? Wouldnt NATO have accepted any reasonable settlement to prevent an avoidable war? Isnt peace through diplomacy the new world orders highest aspiration? Despite Clintons 'third way' policy, isnt brute force a last resort. What message is now sent: Accept the U.S. terms and conditions or face Tomahawk cruise missiles? Most people outside of the administration would have gone the extra distance and entertained all reasonable proposals. Brimming with frustration, secretary of state Albright said, after sending ambassador Holbrooke to Belgrade [one last time], "that the U.S. has gone the extra mile." Did we really? Its a well known fact that Holbrookes last meeting with Milosevic offered no new proposals, appeared blatantly perfunctory and essentially restated a provocative ultimatum: Sign or else. No matter how repugnant the Milosevic regime, launching a devastating air-war, exacerbating the persecution and misery of ethnic Albanians [and innocent Serbs], and systematically destroying the infrastructure of a poor, backward nation hardly represents a victory for the Western Alliance. Age-old ethnic hatreds arent going to be solved by bombing deviant countries into submission. Yes, theres a point at which malignant despots can no longer be placated, but theres also value now to examining how and why high-level diplomacy failed. With the U.S. intelligence studying Serbian troop movements and paramilitary operations for months during the brutal crackdown and 'ethnic cleansing,' the U.S. State Department wasnt shouting 'genocide' and openly comparing Slobodan Milosevic to Adolf Hitler. Nor were there worries that the Kosovo civil war would spread to neighboring countries and destabilize Europe. But once the bombs began dropping, the administrations rationale shifted positions: Early in the day they were protecting American interests. At noon they were stopping the spread of a dangerous civil war. In the evening they were rescuing Kosovo from Europes next genocidal maniac. After president Clinton hosted an evening with holocaust survivor and Nobel prize winner Elie Wiesel, the administration hit its stride and found a politically correct rationale. They were drawing the line against genocide. Who could argue with that? Once the war began, the Serbs escalated their brutal persecution of ethnic Albanians. If the U.S. and the allies were really concerned about protecting the Kosovars, why did we allow an antiseptic air-war to go on for six weeks? How was it possible to stop the slaughterhouse occurring on the ground? If the war werent worth risking American lives, maybe we shouldnt have intervened at all. As it was, we wreaked untold trauma and misery on the streams of refugees fleeing for their lives without adequate contingency plans. How could the State Department miscalculate so badly? Milosevic didnt roll-over and the Serbs retaliated by brutally attacking the Albanian population. Wheres the evidence to support the administrations claim that the Serbs were planning this stepped up aggression? With Kosovo now in nearly complete anarchy and with NATO forces blown up in camouflaged minefields, what have we learned for the next time around? About the Author John M. Curtis is director of a West Los Angeles think tank specializing in human behavior, health care and political research and media consultation. Hes a seminar trainer, columnist and author of Dodging The Bullet and Operation Charisma. |
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