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LA Mayor's Race a Done Deal
by John M. Curtis Copyright May 22, 2001 aining unstoppable momentum, former California Assembly Speaker Antonio Villaraigosa is well on his way to becoming the first Latino mayor of Los Angeles since Christobal Aguillar in 1872. Racing toward his date with destiny, the charismatic candidate looks a lot like the Lakers streaking to their next NBA championship. Up to the task, the meticulously attired, liberal East LA native made a true believer out of Republican Mayor Richard Riordan, whose critical endorsement came last week. Its all but over for his genteel opponent City Atty. James Hahn, whose campaign got stuck in South Central where his legendary father served the County Board of Supervisors for more than 30 years. With Riordans endorsement comes Steve Soboroffs Westside and West Valley support, more than enough votes to propel Villaraigosa to an easy victory on June 5. Unable to inspire Westside voters, Hahns campaign stalled sometime before the April 10 election, when his numbers began unraveling. Since then, hes been unable to pull together the many disparate groups once known as the Bradley coalition. Acknowledging the slippage, Hahns campaign turned negative attacking Villaraigosa for Californias current energy crisis when the former Speaker supported deregulation along with a bipartisan group of 120 legislators back in 1996. First, he should acknowledge I screwed up here, said Hahns chief campaign consultant Kam Kuwata, taking a shot at Villaraigosas credibility. Rolling up his sleeves and displaying the kind of charisma thats pushed him into the lead, Villaraigosa sounded a positive note to a group of enthusiastic supporters at Temple Kol Tikvah in Woodland Hills. Im a consultants nightmare, said Antonio, But now I want to share with you my heart. Speaking off the cuff, I believe that hope trumps fear, said Villaraigosa, I believe that people want this city to work, refusing to counterattack Hahn for criticizing his legislative record. Frontrunners dont need to bite and scratch for votes. Taking the high road and outlining key policy goals, Villaraigosas looking a lot like the next mayor. With the clock running out, Hahns campaign is getting that sinking feeling. Winning 20% of the vote on April 10, former mayoral candidate Steve Soboroff held the wildcard to winning the runoff election. His coalition of both conservative and liberal Valley and Westside voters was up for grabs but critical to Hahns bid for mayor. With Villaraigosa forming a strong bond with Jewish voters, Hahns appeal to conservative Valley and Westside voters fizzled. Riordans endorsement landed a quiet knock out punch to Hahns chances. Its no accident that Villaraigosas announced policy positions mirror Riordans and Soboroffs key agendas on police, education and traffic abatement. With Villaraigosas lock on the Hispanic vote, Hahns recent endorsement by State Senator Richard Polonco wont have much impact. Undecided voteslargely seniorsleft over from City Councilman Joel Wachs, wont favor either candidate. More important than endorsements is the air of inevitability now beginning to swirl around the popular Assembly speaker. Breaking his way, Villaraigosas a step closer to City Hall. Bridging LAs ethnic divide, Villaraigosa managed to cobble together an impressive North-East-West coalition, somehow eluding South Central, whose African American community seems in Hahns corner. But even in South Central, hes pulling from Hispanics who now occupy the fastest growing minority in the wholesale district. While both men are going the distance, its Villaraigosa who seems to have spring in his step. Placed in front of the cameras, the former Assembly Speaker looks like hes having fun. Less extroverted, Hahn sometimes appears like hed rather be anywhere other than in front of the cameras. Aside from his politics, Villaraigosa fits the image, frequently beaming wide smiles and abundant enthusiasm. His story is a wonderful American story that will give inspiration to thousands of minority children, remarked Antonio Rodriguez, an Eastside attorney who has known Villaraigosa since his days as Tony Villar, a little known UCLA student and union organizer. Striking a cord with voters, Villaraigosa personifies the self-made man, whose fabled life from the streets of East LA to the marble of the State Assembly reads like a Hollywood script. In contrast, Hahns 25 years of public service seems hopelessly linked to his fathers legacy on the Board of Supervisors. While racking up some impressive accomplishments as City Controller and City Attorney, Hahns known for his mild-mannered, business-like disposition. Pointing to his work as City Atty., he frequently cites his tough stance on crime, sponsoring injunctions against local street gangs. Neither candidate has taken a definitive stand on LAs plague of urban homelessness nor Councilman Mark Ridley-Thomas passion to refurbish the LA Memorial Coliseum and return pro football to Los Angeles. Improving neighborhoods, adding more police, reducing crime and making Los Angeles more habitable is high on the list for both candidates. While Hahn will accomplish this through his close familiarity with city bureaucracy, Villaraigosa hopes to inspire disparate groups from a bully pulpit. Their leadership styles couldnt be more stark: Villaraigosa leads by charisma and Hahn with quiet administrative skill. With issues a virtual wash, the race hinges on who voters prefer watching on TV. Complaining about a tight budget, Hahn expressed regrets about the influence of outside moneyespecially from unions and the Democratic Partyinjecting itself into the mayors race. Ive got to stretch my dollar farther, said Hahn, referring to Villaraigosas prodigious war chest from which to finance TV ads. Sure, Villaraigosa has deeper pockets, but its precisely because hes received more endorsements from mainstream sources. In the end, you cant blame candidates for generating the kind of popularity that spawns big giftsmore power to him. Bubbly, vivacious and energetic, Villaraigosa has many people enthused about the prospects of having another buoyant personality at City Hall. While he and mayor Riordan come from different worlds, they share boundless energy and eternal optimism. Transcending parties and ethnic groups, Villaraigosa captured the enthusiasm of voters hungry for greatness in Los Angeles. Daring to be great, hes earned his seat at the helm. About the Author John M. Curtis is editor of OnlineColumnist.com and columnist for the Los Angeles Daily Journal. Hes director of a Los Angeles think tank specializing in political consulting and strategic public relations. Hes the author of Dodging The Bullet and Operation Charisma. |
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