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Obama No Longer Takes Role as World Policeman
by John M. Curtis
(310) 204-8700
Copyright
April 19 2014 All Rights Reserved.
Watching
events in Ukraine with bated breath, Japan, Malaysia, Philippines and Taiwan,
question how much the United States would do in territorial disputes with a more
muscular China. Visiting a newly refurbished aircraft carrier April 7 in the port city of Quingdao,
Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel got the message that China was the military bully
in the Pacific Rim. While China’s
proud of its rehab job of an obsolete Russian-built Ukrainian vessel, the real
message reached China’s Pacific Rim neighbors:
Don’t mess with the Peoples Republic or face China’s beefed up navy and
formidable military. “What we can say after seeing what happened to Ukraine is that using force to change the
status quo is not acceptable,” said Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, locked
in a stubborn dispute with China over the sovereignty of Japan’s Senkaku Islands
AKA China’s Diayou Islands.
Signed Jan. 19, 1960, the Treaty of Mutual Cooperation and Security
obligates the United States to defend Japan’s territorial interests in dispute
with foreign governments, especially China.
Watching what happened in Ukraine, Japan now has reason to sweat since
the U.S. let Putin seize Crimea without any real consequences other than some
watered down sanctions. Japan’s
bitter dispute with China over the Senkaku Islands in the East China Sea raises
the distinct possibility that the U.S. would not defend Japan from Chinese
encroachment. Few experts in the
U.S. believe that the U.S. would go to war against China over some
inconsequential islands bearing no national security significance to the U.S. “The heavyweights in the region got
very scared by the Syrian decision,” said Douglas Paal, a former U.S. diplomat
now with the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Obama drew so called “red lines” in Syria over Bashar al-Assad’s use of
chemical weapons but did nothing once proof was verified of mustard and sarin
nerve gas. When the International
Red Cross reported that 1,400 Syrians died in chemical attacks Aug. 30, 2013,
Obama didn’t exercise U.S. military options after al-Assad crossed the “red
line.” “They’ve never seen anything
like that. They’ve always counted
on strong executives bringing the Congress along or going around the Congress to
makes sure that our security guarantees will be honore,.” said Paal, signaling
that things have changed. After 13
years of war in Afghanistan, thousands of lives lost and trillions of tax
dollars spent, Obama isn’t inclined to embroil the U.S. in more foreign
adventures. Whatever U.S. allies
fear in the Pacific Rim, it’s doubtful Obama will play world policeman and
enforce territorial disputes.
Since Putin invaded Crimea March 1, China’s remained silent while the
U.S. and Europe tried to dissuade Moscow from more aggression. When it comes to Syria, Obama’s been
prodded by former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton and Sen. John McCain
(R-Ariz.) to intervene militarily to protect Syrian civilians caught in
al-Assad’s brutal attempt to cling to power.
Russia specifically asked the U.S. and European Union to stay out of the
Saudi-Qatari-backed civil war that attempts to oust al-Assad’s small Alawite
Shiite minority. Obama’s been
reluctant to get into another Mideast civil war, committing U.S. power topple
al-Assad. Clinton and McCain urged
Obama to install a no-fly zone, something opposed by the Pentagon. Whatever happens in Syria should have no bearing of what geopolitical problems emerge
between China and its neighbors in the Pacific Rim.
Former President George W. Bush set a foreign policy based of Sept. 11,
where the U.S. was under siege from Islamic radicals. As the Iraq and Afghan wars wound
down and Bin Laden was finally killed May 1, 2011, Obama proceeded with his plan
to deescalate U.S. involvement in foreign adventures. “We have been talking with them
[Asian governments] about the importance of a strong international front to
uphold principles that they and we hold dear, the sovereignty and territorial
integrity of nations, the need for peaceful resolution of disputes,” said White
House National Security Advisor Susan Rice.
Rice strongly mirrored the White House position that foreign governments
can’t count on the U.S. to play world policeman.
Asian governments’ concerned about China’s bullying must now look to
diplomacy and the U.N. to resolve territorial disputes.
With less than three years left in his second term, Obama plans to work
on the U.S. economy and other domestic challenges like Obamacare. Foreign governments from Syria to Japan have witnessed a distinct pivot in U.S. foreign
policy, advising foreign governments that the U.S. no longer plays world
policeman. “And we will continue to
have that discussion throughout each of the stops on our trip,” said Rice,
referring to the limited role the U.S. would play in resolving territorial
disputes. While it’s true that the
U.S. has mutual defense treaties with Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, etc., the U.S.
hasn’t been able to enforce those pacts since the Reagan administration, if not
before. Whatever happens between
China and its Pacific Rim neighbors, the U.S. won’t commit to more gratuitous
military adventures. Foreign governments must get used to Obama’s new foreign policy.
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