Rand Paul Slams Romney for Weighing 2016 Run

by John M. Curtis
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Copyright January 15, 2015
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            Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) slammed former GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney for considering another shot at the presidency in 2016.  While it’s true Romney’s run twice and came up short, it’s also true he made some bad decisions, especially vitiating his moderate credentials picking House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) as his running mate.  If Paul recalls 2008, Romney faced a seniority issue with Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), where the GOP deferred to McCain only to watch his fortunes tank picking former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin.  While Obama rode a tidal wave of popularity at the prospects of breaking the race barrier in presidential politics, McCain hurt himself badly in 2008 picking Palin.  Romney made the same mistake as McCain, picking a running mate generally seen as trying to undo popular government entitlements like Medicare and Social Security.

             Weighing a run in 2016, Paul should be focusing on himself, especially what makes his candidacy different, more desirable on a national stage that other Republican candidates.  Ripping Romney before he announces reflects badly on Paul, violating the late President Ronald Reagan’s covenant:  Thou shall not attack a fellow Republican.  Reacting to Romney’s possible interests in mounting another presidential run, Paul disparaged the effort as making the same mistake twice.  “When your do the same thing and expect and different result, it’s sort of what Einstein said, that the definition of insanity is to do the same thing over and over again and expect a different result,” Paul said, not seeing the Jan. 13 Iowa Caucus poll that put Romney ahead of Jeb Bush 21% to 14%, with Rand polling only 8%.  Paul should be encouraging all Republicans candidates to make their pitch to voters.

             Whatever happened to Republicans in past presidential elections, it’s no assurance that it will happen again.  While it’s true that national elections are another ball of wax that Midterm elections, it’s also true that anything can happen between now and Election Day.  Whatever positive economic news today, it could unravel before the 2016 election heats up.  Romney tried to make hay out President Barack Obama’s economy, urging voters to changes horses in 2012.  With economic metrics, like unemployment, jobs growth, GDP, Wall Street, all pointing in the right direction, Romney had a tough sell to voters.  Calling Romney “yesterday’s news,” Paul hopes to establish himself as the best option other that Jeb.  Paul doesn’t know for sure that Jeb has the legs to run for president, other than his name recognition and recent announcements that he’s considering jumping in.

             Polling at only eight percent, Paul shouldn’t lecture Romney what to do or not do about running for president.  Saying voters needed “a new approach, a fresh approach” in 2016, Paul might as well tell Bush to throw in the towel too.  Paul hopes his libertarian views resonate with voters, much like his father, former Texas Congressman Ron Paul, did in past elections.  Unlike his father who was viewed as eccentric by most voters, Paul hope to be a mainstream candidate, despite holding a high rating with the Tea Party, hoping to make inroads in 2016.  Tea Party voters seek to reduce the size and scope of the federal government, limiting government spending to national defense.  Paul holds the same view as his father, Ron, that the Founding Fathers never envisioned today’s welfare state.  Paul had no problem shutting down and defaulting the U.S. government in 2013 to make the point that the government should not be in the national health care business.

             Starting off on the wrong foot, Paul shouldn’t lecture others what to do with their presidential ambitions.  When donors look a various candidates, they want to know they have a shot at winning in 2016.  No donor wants to back a candidate that fails achieve their objectives.  “We had a great 2014 but really a presidential election is a completely different election,” said Paul, precisely making the point why moderate candidates like Jeb and Mitt appeal to Democrats and independents, the groups likely to pick the next president.  Midterm elections focus much more on local, regional and statewide issues, not cutting across a national voting bloc.  “Twice as many people vote and a lot of people vote and a lot of people who vote in presidential elections seem to vote for the Democratic Party,” said Paul, making Romney’s argument more compelling:  That moderation prevails.

             When matched up in a hypothetical 2016 presidential race with presumed Democratic frontrunner former First Lady, U.S. Senator and Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, Paul runs 20 points behind, worse than Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) who already took himself out of running.  While the same Dec. 28 poll showed Jeb running 13 points behind Hillary, it didn’t include Romney, considered, at least in Iowa, a favorite over Bush by seven points.  While it’s premature to jump to conclusions about recent polls, it shows that moderate candidates have a better shot in mainstream elections.  When Romney picked Ryan in 2012, he no longer seemed mainstream, because of Ryan’s conservative credentials.  If Romney sticks to his guns and doesn’t pander to conservatives, he’ll compete well against Hillary, should she run.  Right wing candidates will frighten off voters in a general election.

About the Author

John M. Curtis writes politically neutral commentary analyzing spin in national and global news.  He's editor of OnlineColumnist.com.and author of Dodging the Bullet and Operation Charisma.


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