Obama Gets Closer to Signing Keystone XL

by John M. Curtis
(310) 204-8700

Copyright January10, 2015
All Rights Reserved.
                                    

               President Barack Obama faces a fork in the road in the last two years of his lame duck presidency, deciding what to do with the Keystone XL pipeline.  Since vetoing the measure in 2012, it’s been a wasteful political hot potato, polarizing Democrats and Republicans at the expense of Washington gridlock.  When the bill reaches Barack’s desk again next week once it’s passed in the U.S. Senate, Obama will be forced to make a fateful decision:  More gridlock or some token bipartisanship.  All the phony environmental arguments were tossed out with a bogus lawsuit in Nebraska trying to block the pipelines expected path.  Threatening a veto last week, White House spokesman Josh Earnest cited the lawsuit as the primary reason for the president’s possible veto.  Now that the lawsuit’s tossed out Jan. 9, Obama has run out of excuses to veto the Keystone Xl pipeline..

           Only one of the four legs of the Keystone XL remains running pipe from Hardisty, Alberta, through Baker, Montana and Steele City, Nebraskto to Houston, Texas bringing 800,000 barrels of TransCanada’s tar-sands crude oil to the Gulf for refining.  Obama’s argued that it only brings temporary jobs to the U.S., mostly benefiting the Canadian oil industry.  When you consider the pipeline would save incalculable amounts of diesel truck pollution traveling from Alberta to Houston, let alone wear-and-tear on American Interstates, the pipeline is the best environmental decision to save untold tons of carbon emissions in the atmosphere.  Battling Republicans on Keystone XL has become counterproductive for Democrats, viewed more partisan than stewards of the environments.  Opponents like Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) have done more harm to the Party fighting Keystone XL than protecting the environment.

             When the 2016 Election heats up later this year, the big question asked will be whether or not a two-party system can survive.  With Democrats shellacked in the Midterm election Nov. 4, handing Republicans a decisive majority [54-45], Obama and Democrats must swallow hard, giving into some GOP projects.  While the GOP would like to repeal Obamacare, they know that would face a certain veto.  When it comes to the Keystone XL, there’s nothing on principle Obama loses by backing he project.  Vetoing the pipeline again would have far more fallout to Democrats than passing it.  Vetoing Keystone XL, once it gets through Senate, would backfire for Democrats, giving the GOP more talking points heading into the 2016 election.  Republicans want to force a vote because they know the White House has lost any real reason to veto it other than ugly partisan politics.

             Without any concerns about the Keystone XL pipeline’s route, the White House lost it major argument for a veto.  “It’s time for the State Department and the president to make a decision on the Keystone XL pipeline—however they decide—because six years is beyond long enough,” said Sen. Heidi Heilkamp (D-N.D.), one of the Democrats’ key backers.  Opposing the Keystone XL so vociferously, Democrats have made the change of heart into a political defeat.  Democrats need to cut their losses on Keystone XL and show voters they can find common ground with the GOP.  Bringing 800,000 barrels a day from Calgary to Houston along a 1,179 stretch of pipeline would put more refined petroleum product on the market without the shipping expenses or pollution expected from trucking oil the same distance.  Democrats have run out arguments to block the Keystone XL.

             Before the next presidential election cycle, Obama needs to cement some bipartisan legacy.  His March 23, 2010 Affordable Care Act was forced down Republican throats without any bipartisan consensus.  Passing Keystone XL would help Obama with other legislative wishes, especially his recent move to normalize relations with Cuba.  Passing Keystone XL might stave off fierce GOP opposition to restoring diplomatic relations with Cuba.  Staunch opponents to ending the Cuban embargo like Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fl.) might cut the White House some slack by showing concessions on Keystone XL.  “A vote against Keystone sends a signal that our government is taking the science of climate change and risk analysis seriously,” said Martin Heinrich (D-N.M.), giving the old feeble excuse to veto it.  Preventing truckers from spewing diesel pollution from Calgary to Houston only helps climate change.  

             Obama faces a tough but fateful decision when the Keystone XL gets to his desk next week.  If he vetoes the bill, he’ll galvanize more gridlock and hurt his agenda in his final two years in office.  Vetoing Keystone XL will hurt every Democrat’s chances of holding onto the White House in 2016.   Vetoing will prove to voters that Democrats can’t get anything done with a Republican-controlled House and Senate.  “That would show some willingness on his [Obama’s] part to start working together,” said Sen. John Hoeven  (R-N.D.), referring to the president letting Keystone XL go ahead.  When you look at the pros and cons, Keystone XL gets more oil to Gulf refiners with less pollution from trucking product over the same distance.  However it benefits a good neighbor like Canada, Keystone XL help American consumers by keeping energy supplies high and pump prices low.

About the Author 

John M. Curtis writes politically neutral commentary analyzing spin in national and global news.  He's editor of OnlineColumnist.com.and author of Dodging the Bullet and Operation Charisma.


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